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Red120
862623.6
12564.5
1015615.0
Blue110
534729.6
972924.1
573521.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98590204080120140120110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
78Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
120Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
64.52.5
51.654.1
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 34.9
5347
#10
29.64.9
21.926.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
8626
#24
23.62.5
18.020.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
blue by 0.5
24.13.0
15.718.6
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
Third
15.01.5
16.417.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 6.5
5735
#35
21.64.9
16.721.6
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed