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Red118
7844.3
556321.0
431128.1
Blue75
1025420.9
6925.8
673124.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018020406012014016011875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
76Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#17
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
118Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
44.31.5
40.241.7
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 18.5
69
#25
25.81.4
23.822.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.8
Second
28.11.5
31.432.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End9.8
red by 3.4
6731
#11
24.71.4
22.621.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Third
5563
#23
21.01.5
12.814.3
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
red by 0.1
20.91.4
22.320.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed