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Red56
15125.5
50920.2
905613.8
Blue70
636721.3
271336.4
320512.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488402040601001201405670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
39Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
56Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#13
25.50.8
20.821.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End0.9
blue by 10.9
36.40.3
29.829.4
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Second
509
#31
20.20.7
14.515.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 1.1
6367
#30
21.30.4
21.421.0
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End0.1
Third
9056
#34
13.80.5
10.511.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
red by 1.2
3205
#12
12.60.4
19.819.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed