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Qual 372025 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red103
872422.9
34820.1
632446.0
Blue132
242333.8
581350.3
404833.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6811150100150200103132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+27
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points43
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
82Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points2
103Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#7
46.04.2
30.4→34.7
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
blue by 4.3
5813
#3
50.33.3
37.3→40.5
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
Second
8724
#20
22.93.7
20.5→24.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 11.0
2423
#6
33.83.8
27.9→31.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Third
348
#37
20.14.2
14.1→18.3
Auto2.6
Teleop16.4
End1.1
blue by 13.5
4048
#21
33.63.8
31.0→34.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned