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Red45
40347.1
17526.6
476111.5
Blue84
24622.4
620142.6
39580.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51690204060801001204584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+55
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
18Foul points2
45Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#19
26.62.2
19.817.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
blue by 16.1
42.61.6
33.435.0
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
Second
4761
#36
11.51.9
13.611.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
blue by 10.9
246
#17
22.42.4
16.318.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.4
Third
4034
#29
7.12.2
13.010.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.6
red by 6.8
3958
#38
0.32.7
7.710.5
Auto0.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned