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Red76
545928.4
556321.0
1015615.0
Blue80
17617.6
431128.1
972924.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6666607075807680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
56Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points0
76Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.3
23.223.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
red by 0.3
28.10.6
32.933.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End9.8
Second
5563
#23
21.00.3
14.314.6
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
blue by 3.1
24.10.4
18.619.0
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
Third
15.00.2
17.918.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.6
red by 7.4
1761
#27
7.60.4
5.05.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned