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Red74
271336.4
511222.1
208420.1
Blue66
636721.3
862623.6
1039314.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8564501001507466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
52Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
74Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.4
29.429.0
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
red by 12.8
8626
#24
23.60.2
20.620.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
Second
5112
#16
22.10.5
21.320.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 0.9
6367
#30
21.30.2
21.020.8
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End0.1
Third
2084
#32
20.10.4
19.619.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End0.2
red by 5.5
14.60.2
16.015.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed