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Qual 412025 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red106
6925.8
15125.5
242333.8
Blue108
12564.5
404833.6
50920.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811204060100140160180106108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+6Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
71Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#4
7L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
106Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#6
33.83.4
31.7→35.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
blue by 30.6
125
#1
64.50.4
54.1→54.6
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
69
#25
25.83.4
22.4→25.8
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.8
blue by 7.7
4048
#21
33.60.4
34.8→35.2
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Third
151
#13
25.53.4
21.6→25.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End0.9
red by 5.3
509
#31
20.20.3
15.2→15.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned