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Red101
1006319.9
1025420.9
7844.3
Blue129
17526.6
581350.3
24622.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9887406080120140160101129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points14
17Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
68Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#3
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points6
101Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
44.30.9
41.742.6
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
blue by 5.9
50.33.2
40.543.7
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
Second
20.90.9
20.921.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
blue by 5.6
175
#19
26.64.0
17.621.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Third
19.90.9
18.619.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
blue by 2.6
246
#17
22.43.2
18.721.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned