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Red100
534729.6
242333.8
511222.1
Blue34
476111.5
862623.6
556321.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10450015020010034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+68Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
14Coral scored#4
51Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
69Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
100Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.8
35.036.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
red by 10.3
8626
#24
23.61.3
20.419.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
Second
5347
#10
29.61.9
26.928.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 8.6
5563
#23
21.01.3
14.613.3
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
Third
5112
#16
22.11.8
20.722.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 10.6
4761
#36
11.51.1
11.810.6
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed