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Red98
534729.6
620142.6
17617.6
Blue92
872422.9
17526.6
7844.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72100204060801201401609892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points4
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
60Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
14Foul points0
98Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.7
34.635.3
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
blue by 1.7
78
#14
44.30.1
42.642.5
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
5347
#10
29.61.0
28.829.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 3.0
175
#19
26.60.1
21.621.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Third
1761
#27
7.60.7
5.46.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 15.3
8724
#20
22.90.0
22.422.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned