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Red111
581350.3
1039314.6
673124.7
Blue83
15125.5
476111.5
404833.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94712040608012014016011183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+18Teleop
+32Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
67Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
5L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
2Foul points6
111Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.9
43.745.6
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
red by 16.7
4048
#21
33.60.5
33.934.4
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Second
6731
#11
24.72.3
22.925.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
blue by 0.8
151
#13
25.50.5
25.025.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End0.9
Third
14.62.4
15.818.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 3.1
4761
#36
11.50.4
10.611.0
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed