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Qual 572025 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red158
632446.0
556321.0
332320.0
Blue89
50920.2
476111.5
7844.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7582406010012014015889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+55Teleop
+57Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
24Coral scored#12
88Coral points42
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
126Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#4
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
12Foul points0
158Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#7
46.05.7
35.5→41.2
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
red by 1.7
78
#14
44.30.2
42.5→42.3
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
5563
#23
21.05.7
13.3→19.0
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
red by 0.8
509
#31
20.20.2
16.0→15.8
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
3323
#28
20.05.7
15.0→20.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End2.6
red by 8.4
4761
#36
11.50.2
11.0→10.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed