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Red52
905613.8
34820.1
17617.6
Blue105
673124.7
242333.8
24622.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2910005015052105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
39Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points12
52Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#37
20.10.9
20.921.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.4
End1.1
blue by 13.7
33.80.4
37.037.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Second
9056
#34
13.80.7
9.710.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
blue by 10.9
6731
#11
24.70.4
25.225.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Third
1761
#27
7.60.7
5.96.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 14.8
246
#17
22.40.3
20.921.1
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned