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Qual 592025 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red135
404833.6
620142.6
271336.4
Blue86
545928.4
1025420.9
431128.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129885010015020013586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +47
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points45
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
24Processor points12
20Net points8
44Algae points20
112Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points4
135Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#2
42.61.3
36.2→37.4
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
red by 14.2
5459
#9
28.40.6
24.6→24.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
Second
2713
#4
36.41.3
32.4→33.6
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
red by 8.2
4311
#5
28.10.7
29.3→28.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End9.8
Third
4048
#21
33.61.7
34.4→36.1
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 12.6
10254
#22
20.90.7
21.5→20.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed