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Red53
511222.1
476111.5
573521.6
Blue96
332320.0
7844.3
15125.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64107501502005396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
45Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
53Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#16
22.10.2
23.323.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
blue by 22.2
78
#14
44.30.8
42.343.1
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
5735
#35
21.60.2
21.621.4
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
blue by 3.9
151
#13
25.50.8
24.124.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End0.9
Third
4761
#36
11.50.2
10.810.7
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
blue by 8.4
3323
#28
20.00.8
20.721.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned