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Red43
556321.0
39580.3
872422.9
Blue111
1006319.9
12564.5
1039314.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4911102040608010012014016043111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+60
Endgame+74
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +34
6Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
6Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
29Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
6Foul points0
43Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8724
#20
22.90.9
22.221.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 41.6
125
#1
64.51.4
58.860.2
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
5563
#23
21.01.2
19.017.9
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
red by 1.2
19.91.4
16.618.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Third
3958
#38
0.31.2
6.25.1
Auto0.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
blue by 14.3
14.61.4
16.918.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned