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Qual 642025 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red69
208420.1
17526.6
34820.1
Blue118
972924.1
545928.4
636721.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7374405060809010011069118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +42
10Coral scored#20
37Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
55Total teleop97
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
6Foul points0
69Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#19
26.61.2
23.8→22.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
blue by 1.8
5459
#9
28.42.8
24.0→26.8
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
Second
348
#37
20.11.2
21.8→20.6
Auto2.6
Teleop16.4
End1.1
blue by 4.0
9729
#8
24.12.8
20.9→23.7
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
Third
2084
#32
20.11.0
20.4→19.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End0.2
blue by 1.2
6367
#30
21.33.7
19.8→23.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed