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Red72
7844.3
673124.7
511222.1
Blue80
40347.1
271336.4
242333.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10689501507280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
49Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points8
72Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
44.31.6
43.141.5
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 8.0
36.40.5
33.633.1
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Second
6731
#11
24.71.6
25.624.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
blue by 9.2
33.80.6
37.336.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Third
5112
#16
22.11.6
23.121.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 15.0
4034
#29
7.10.6
8.27.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned