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Red101
476111.5
12564.5
332320.0
Blue52
1039314.6
404833.6
573521.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10582406012014016018010152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
64Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
101Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
64.50.5
60.260.7
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 30.9
4048
#21
33.62.1
36.133.9
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Second
3323
#28
20.00.5
21.522.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End2.6
blue by 1.6
5735
#35
21.62.1
21.419.2
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Third
4761
#36
11.50.4
10.711.0
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
blue by 3.1
14.62.1
18.316.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed