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Red103
431128.1
862623.6
620142.6
Blue138
581350.3
905613.8
632446.0
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981066080120140160103138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+47
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
12Processor points24
8Net points16
20Algae points40
69Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points2
103Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.5
37.438.0
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
blue by 7.6
50.32.3
47.049.3
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
Second
28.10.7
28.629.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End9.8
blue by 17.9
46.02.8
39.041.8
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
Third
8626
#24
23.60.7
20.921.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
red by 9.8
9056
#34
13.82.3
10.412.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned