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Red44
636721.3
17617.6
1015615.0
Blue87
15125.5
534729.6
1006319.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498202040601001201404487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+47
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +43
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points40
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
0Processor points18
4Net points8
4Algae points26
23Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
44Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6367
#30
21.30.3
23.523.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End0.1
blue by 8.3
5347
#10
29.61.3
28.529.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
15.00.2
17.417.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 10.5
151
#13
25.51.3
24.926.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End0.9
Third
1761
#27
7.60.2
6.66.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 12.3
19.91.3
18.019.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed