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Red77
581350.3
636721.3
332320.0
Blue79
17617.6
24622.4
556321.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1144701001502007779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
54Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
77Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.8
49.347.6
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
red by 27.8
246
#17
22.41.2
20.822.0
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.4
Second
6367
#30
21.32.0
23.221.3
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End0.1
red by 0.2
5563
#23
21.01.4
19.721.0
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
Third
3323
#28
20.02.0
22.020.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End2.6
red by 12.4
1761
#27
7.61.2
6.47.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed