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Red115
7844.3
545928.4
6925.8
Blue73
573521.6
208420.1
50920.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146005010015011573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
77Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
8Foul points0
115Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
44.30.8
41.542.2
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 22.8
5735
#35
21.61.0
19.220.3
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Second
28.40.7
26.827.5
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
red by 8.2
509
#31
20.20.9
18.018.9
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
69
#25
25.80.8
25.526.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.8
red by 5.7
2084
#32
20.10.9
19.120.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed