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Red128
1025420.9
271336.4
7844.3
Blue109
242333.8
431128.1
872422.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128105406080120140160180128109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
68Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +19
8Foul points0
128Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
44.30.1
43.343.4
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 10.5
33.80.3
33.633.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
Second
36.40.1
35.335.4
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
red by 8.2
28.10.3
27.928.1
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End9.8
Third
20.90.1
19.920.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
blue by 2.0
8724
#20
22.90.3
22.622.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End1.9