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Red150
12564.5
581350.3
17526.6
Blue157
862623.6
620142.6
632446.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451066080120160180200150157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
24Coral scored#24
87Coral points86
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
107Total teleop118
Reef
9L4#12
13L3#9
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
150Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
64.50.3
62.362.6
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 18.5
46.01.1
44.145.2
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
Second
50.30.3
48.148.4
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
red by 7.6
42.61.1
40.741.8
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
Third
175
#19
26.60.3
24.424.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
red by 3.0
8626
#24
23.61.1
21.722.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1