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Red126
1025420.9
271336.4
7844.3
Blue95
534729.6
50920.2
573521.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218220406010014016018012695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
84Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
126Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
44.30.2
43.443.6
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 14.7
5347
#10
29.60.2
29.429.6
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
36.40.2
35.435.6
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
red by 14.8
5735
#35
21.60.2
21.421.6
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Third
20.90.2
20.020.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 0.7
509
#31
20.20.2
20.020.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1