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Red176
12564.5
581350.3
17526.6
Blue144
1025420.9
271336.4
7844.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15711050100200176144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points65
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
12Processor points18
32Net points12
44Algae points30
116Total teleop95
Reef
13L4#7
9L3#8
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
176Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
64.50.7
62.663.3
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 20.1
78
#14
44.30.7
43.644.3
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
50.30.7
48.449.1
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
red by 13.9
36.40.7
35.636.4
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Third
175
#19
26.60.7
24.725.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
red by 5.6
20.90.7
20.220.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2