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Red119
862623.6
620142.6
632446.0
Blue110
287627.3
673124.7
404833.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111854060100120140160180119110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +36
22Coral scored#12
78Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
106Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
119Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.4
42.943.3
Auto6.8
Teleop38.9
End0.3
red by 12.4
4048
#21
33.60.4
33.433.8
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Second
42.60.4
39.539.9
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
red by 15.3
2876
#15
27.30.4
27.127.5
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.2
Third
8626
#24
23.60.4
20.520.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
blue by 1.1
6731
#11
24.70.4
24.524.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1