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Red137
1025420.9
271336.4
7844.3
Blue82
534729.6
50920.2
573521.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1198020406010014016018013782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+15Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
65Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +34
36Cage & park2
36Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
137Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
44.30.6
42.242.8
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
red by 14.7
5347
#10
29.60.1
28.328.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
36.40.6
34.234.8
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
red by 14.8
5735
#35
21.60.1
20.320.4
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Third
20.90.6
18.819.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 0.7
509
#31
20.20.1
18.919.1
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1