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Red198
287774.2
8877.8
596210.8
Blue161
12580.8
573524.2
176871.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17719450100150250300198161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
10Coral scored#10
48Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +32
23Coral scored#17
83Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
12Processor points6
24Net points20
36Algae points26
119Total teleop87
Reef
15L4#7
6L3#10
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
12Foul points0
198Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
77.80.6
77.077.5
Auto18.6
Teleop50.0
End9.3
blue by 3.0
125
#10
80.80.4
81.481.1
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
Second
74.20.6
73.473.9
Auto20.8
Teleop43.8
End9.5
red by 3.2
71.00.4
71.671.2
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
Third
5962
#23
10.80.6
10.010.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End-0.5
blue by 13.3
5735
#24
24.20.4
24.824.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.1
End-0.5