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Red211
12580.8
573524.2
176871.0
Blue125
46759.5
1025438.7
620146.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20717050100150250300350211125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+80Teleop
+90Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
3Leave9
12Coral scored#6
62Coral points30
65Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +54
23Coral scored#11
84Coral points40
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
128Total teleop74
Reef
13L4#6
12L3#3
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +86
2Foul points6
211Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
80.80.7
80.781.4
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
red by 21.3
467
#21
59.50.6
60.159.5
Auto13.6
Teleop38.1
End7.8
Second
71.00.7
70.871.6
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
red by 24.2
6201
#17
46.80.6
47.446.8
Auto10.8
Teleop29.2
End6.9
Third
5735
#24
24.20.7
24.024.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.1
End-0.5
blue by 14.5
38.70.6
39.338.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End9.1