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Red137
673139.3
801358.7
66346.4
Blue224
46759.5
1025438.7
620146.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167169120140160180200220137224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+53
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +23
6Leave6
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points40
23Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#26
58Coral points94
5Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
30Processor points24
24Net points24
54Algae points48
112Total teleop142
Reef
5L4#15
7L3#10
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +34
2Cage & park36
2Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points0
137Total score224

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.8
59.558.7
Auto9.3
Teleop40.7
End8.8
blue by 0.8
467
#21
59.51.1
59.060.1
Auto13.6
Teleop38.1
End7.8
Second
663
#19
46.40.8
47.246.4
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
blue by 0.4
6201
#17
46.81.1
46.347.4
Auto10.8
Teleop29.2
End6.9
Third
39.30.8
40.139.3
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6
red by 0.6
38.71.1
38.239.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End9.1