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Red204
176871.0
1025438.7
287774.2
Blue151
801358.7
944326.5
66346.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20814550100250300204151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+31Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave0
12Coral scored#4
58Coral points19
61Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
21Coral scored#26
75Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
107Total teleop118
Reef
9L4#14
12L3#9
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#35
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
204Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.7
71.673.3
Auto20.8
Teleop43.8
End9.5
red by 15.5
58.70.7
61.462.0
Auto9.3
Teleop40.7
End8.8
Second
71.01.7
65.467.1
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
red by 24.6
663
#19
46.40.7
47.147.8
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
Third
38.71.7
32.534.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End9.1
red by 12.2
9443
#20
26.50.7
24.925.5
Auto4.4
Teleop16.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned