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Red97
500053.6
596210.8
127733.8
Blue120
175740.7
673139.3
287635.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812205015020097120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +23
11Coral scored#18
38Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
60Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#8
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
97Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#13
53.60.1
55.355.2
Auto17.2
Teleop32.1
End4.3
red by 12.9
1757
#14
40.70.4
38.038.3
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
Second
1277
#15
33.80.1
31.831.7
Auto5.9
Teleop20.2
End7.7
blue by 5.5
39.30.4
33.533.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6
Third
5962
#23
10.80.1
5.65.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End-0.5
blue by 24.9
35.80.4
38.038.4
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed