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Red193
12580.8
83964.4
110058.7
Blue154
620146.8
964454.9
490963.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22317750100150200250300193154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
11Coral scored#6
54Coral points30
54Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +18
26Coral scored#16
93Coral points59
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
12Processor points24
20Net points24
32Algae points48
125Total teleop107
Reef
16L4#8
6L3#5
7L2#7
8L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
193Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
80.81.2
76.575.2
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
red by 17.6
63.31.5
66.464.9
Auto16.3
Teleop38.7
End8.3
Second
839
#12
64.41.2
69.968.7
Auto9.4
Teleop44.0
End11.0
red by 9.5
9644
#16
54.91.5
55.253.7
Auto11.9
Teleop40.8
End2.2
Third
58.71.2
62.261.0
Auto12.2
Teleop39.4
End7.1
red by 11.9
6201
#17
46.81.5
52.050.5
Auto10.8
Teleop29.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned