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Red133
944326.5
242336.6
8877.8
Blue195
176871.0
801358.7
115358.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16621150100150250300133195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+74
Endgame+64
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +16
9Leave0
4Coral scored#9
21Coral points46
30Total auto46
TeleoperatedBlue +58
17Coral scored#28
61Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
12Processor points12
12Net points32
24Algae points44
85Total teleop143
Reef
8L4#18
7L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
2Foul points0
133Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
77.82.0
77.675.6
Auto18.6
Teleop50.0
End9.3
red by 6.9
71.00.1
65.365.4
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
Second
2423
#22
36.62.0
45.443.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.3
End3.5
blue by 22.1
58.70.1
61.361.4
Auto9.3
Teleop40.7
End8.8
Third
9443
#20
26.52.0
26.924.9
Auto4.4
Teleop16.4
End5.7
blue by 31.7
58.20.1
56.156.2
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed