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Red149
287774.2
66346.4
673139.3
Blue62
862640.4
596210.8
175740.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1779105015020025014962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+87Teleop
+89Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +59
19Coral scored#7
69Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
99Total teleop40
Reef
11L4#3
10L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points2
149Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.20.3
71.971.6
Auto20.8
Teleop43.8
End9.5
red by 33.5
1757
#14
40.72.1
40.138.0
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
Second
663
#19
46.40.3
47.447.1
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
red by 6.0
8626
#18
40.42.1
43.741.6
Auto6.4
Teleop33.1
End0.9
Third
39.30.3
33.833.5
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6
red by 28.5
5962
#23
10.82.1
7.75.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed