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Red185
490963.3
175740.7
1025438.7
Blue173
115358.2
500053.6
8877.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15722350100200250300185173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +6
26Coral scored#22
92Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
114Total teleop120
Reef
15L4#15
6L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points0
185Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.31.4
62.663.9
Auto16.3
Teleop38.7
End8.3
blue by 14.5
88
#2
77.81.9
75.773.8
Auto18.6
Teleop50.0
End9.3
Second
1757
#14
40.71.4
38.339.7
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
blue by 17.5
58.21.9
53.852.0
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4
Third
38.71.4
34.235.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End9.1
blue by 14.9
5000
#13
53.61.9
55.253.3
Auto17.2
Teleop32.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned