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Red187
673139.3
964454.9
12580.8
Blue153
66346.4
620146.8
83964.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169174140150160180190200187153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave3
13Coral scored#4
65Coral points20
65Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
17Coral scored#21
62Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
18Processor points18
28Net points24
46Algae points42
108Total teleop116
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#6
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
187Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
80.81.1
74.976.1
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
red by 16.4
839
#12
64.41.4
66.365.0
Auto9.4
Teleop44.0
End11.0
Second
9644
#16
54.91.1
53.354.4
Auto11.9
Teleop40.8
End2.2
red by 8.1
6201
#17
46.81.4
50.649.3
Auto10.8
Teleop29.2
End6.9
Third
39.31.1
33.935.0
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End1.6
blue by 7.1
663
#19
46.41.4
47.846.4
Auto7.7
Teleop38.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned