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Red192
287635.8
490963.3
287774.2
Blue181
500053.6
176871.0
175740.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193179100150250192181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+31Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave9
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points34
58Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +16
18Coral scored#21
66Coral points74
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
30Processor points18
32Net points20
62Algae points38
128Total teleop112
Reef
9L4#13
11L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
192Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.20.3
73.373.6
Auto20.8
Teleop43.8
End9.5
red by 3.2
71.00.7
67.067.7
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
Second
63.30.3
63.964.3
Auto16.3
Teleop38.7
End8.3
red by 9.7
5000
#13
53.60.7
53.354.0
Auto17.2
Teleop32.1
End4.3
Third
35.80.3
38.338.7
Auto9.3
Teleop26.0
End0.5
blue by 4.9
1757
#14
40.70.7
39.740.3
Auto9.9
Teleop23.3
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned