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Red198
83964.4
500053.6
287774.2
Blue202
964454.9
46759.5
115358.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208178050100150250300198202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +38
24Coral scored#29
85Coral points103
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#9
12Processor points24
28Net points36
40Algae points60
125Total teleop163
Reef
14L4#10
8L3#12
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#47
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
198Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.20.2
70.870.7
Auto20.8
Teleop43.8
End9.5
red by 14.7
467
#21
59.51.7
57.459.1
Auto13.6
Teleop38.1
End7.8
Second
839
#12
64.40.2
65.365.2
Auto9.4
Teleop44.0
End11.0
red by 6.2
58.21.7
55.457.1
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4
Third
5000
#13
53.60.2
53.253.0
Auto17.2
Teleop32.1
End4.3
blue by 1.3
9644
#16
54.91.7
52.554.2
Auto11.9
Teleop40.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned