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Red146
964454.9
110058.7
944326.5
Blue180
8877.8
12580.8
176871.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143254050100200300146180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
8Coral scored#8
40Coral points42
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +19
17Coral scored#20
60Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
92Total teleop111
Reef
9L4#13
9L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
32Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points2
146Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.1
62.162.2
Auto12.2
Teleop39.4
End7.1
blue by 22.1
125
#10
80.83.4
79.976.5
Auto25.5
Teleop45.5
End9.8
Second
9644
#16
54.90.1
55.155.2
Auto11.9
Teleop40.8
End2.2
blue by 22.9
88
#2
77.83.4
81.077.6
Auto18.6
Teleop50.0
End9.3
Third
9443
#20
26.50.1
26.726.9
Auto4.4
Teleop16.4
End5.7
blue by 44.5
71.03.4
68.865.3
Auto19.8
Teleop44.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned