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Red229
19074.3
8887.0
176887.8
Blue235
115358.2
568778.8
12575.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266230100150200300350400450229235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
Unranked
87.80.0
87.887.8
Auto21.8
Teleop54.9
End11.1
red by 9.1
5687
Unranked
78.80.0
78.878.8
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
Second
88
Unranked
87.00.0
87.087.0
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
red by 11.2
125
Unranked
75.80.0
75.875.8
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
Third
190
Unranked
74.30.0
74.374.3
Auto23.8
Teleop41.6
End8.9
red by 16.1
1153
Unranked
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4