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Red230
115358.2
568778.8
12575.8
Blue183
287761.3
490957.9
632874.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23819950100150300350230183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
Unranked
78.80.0
78.878.8
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
red by 4.7
6328
Unranked
74.00.0
74.074.0
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
Second
125
Unranked
75.80.0
75.875.8
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
red by 14.5
2877
Unranked
61.30.0
61.361.3
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
Third
1153
Unranked
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto9.7
Teleop43.2
End5.4
red by 0.3
4909
Unranked
57.90.0
57.957.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0