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Red174
105834.2
490957.9
632874.0
Blue168
271345.7
804649.2
31933.6
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187132050100150250300350174168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
Unranked
74.00.0
74.074.0
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
red by 24.9
8046
Unranked
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
Second
4909
Unranked
57.90.0
57.957.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
red by 12.2
2713
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
Third
1058
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
red by 0.6
319
Unranked
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7