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Red129
442242.8
439515.3
353855.9
Blue171
22659.3
924581.0
24012.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120171050100150200250300350129171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +19
17Coral scored#15
62Coral points53
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
76Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#11
9L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points6
129Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
55.90.3
55.956.2
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
blue by 25.1
81.00.3
80.781.0
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
Second
42.80.3
42.943.2
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
blue by 16.4
226
#2
59.30.3
59.059.3
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
Third
4395
#18
15.30.3
15.415.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
red by 3.1
240
#21
12.30.3
12.012.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6