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Red98
442242.8
439515.3
353855.9
Blue153
22659.3
924581.0
24012.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12117105010015020025030035098153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+33
Endgame+53
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points38
37Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#18
31Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
55Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#8
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points2
98Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
55.90.4
56.255.9
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
blue by 25.1
81.00.0
81.081.0
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
Second
42.80.4
43.242.8
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
blue by 16.4
226
#2
59.30.0
59.359.3
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
Third
4395
#18
15.30.4
15.715.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
red by 3.1
240
#21
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6