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Red114
686134.5
438138.3
828035.1
Blue83
514431.5
999619.7
719625.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317805010015020025011483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
69Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
114Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.3
38.137.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
red by 6.8
5144
#12
31.50.4
30.731.2
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Second
35.10.3
37.036.8
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 9.3
7196
#17
25.70.4
32.833.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
Third
34.50.3
39.739.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
red by 14.8
9996
#16
19.70.7
12.813.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed