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Qual 162025 Michigan Advanced Robotics Competition (MARC)
Red87
999234.7
719625.7
514431.5
Blue112
283257.5
438138.3
999312.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10515205020025030087112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
2Coral scored#7
11Coral points34
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points33
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
39Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
12Foul points8
87Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9992
#15
34.72.1
27.8→25.7
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.3
blue by 22.7
2832
#13
57.51.2
67.7→66.4
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Second
5144
#12
31.51.3
31.0→29.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
blue by 6.8
4381
#5
38.31.2
36.6→35.3
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
Third
7196
#17
25.71.3
32.0→30.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
red by 13.5
9993
#19
12.32.1
15.7→13.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned